BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 73 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (2-7) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  136.57

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    W   149.51  44  13   1B  31 (  5-  6) Northern Arizona       12.94     18.06                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    W   152.39  68  55   1A  60 (  5-  7) Texas Tech             15.82     -2.82                      
  3 09/16/2016 Away    W   134.36  32  28   1A  86 (  6-  7) Texas-San Antonio      -2.21      6.21                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    W * 147.66  51  41   1A  63 (  5-  7) California             11.09     -1.09                      
  5 10/01/2016 Away    L * 137.78  20  41   1A  12 ( 10-  3) Southern Cal            1.21    -22.21                      
  6 10/08/2016 Home    W * 142.77  23  20   1A  54 (  4-  8) UCLA                    6.20     -3.20                      
  7 10/15/2016 Away    L * 131.52  16  40   1A  17 ( 10-  4) Colorado               -5.05    -18.95                      
  8 10/22/2016 Home    L * 147.56  32  37   1A  16 (  8-  5) Washington St          10.99    -15.99                      
  9 10/29/2016 Away    L * 120.65  35  54   1A  69 (  4-  8) Oregon                -15.92     -3.08                      
 10 11/10/2016 Home    L * 122.11  26  49   1A  35 (  9-  4) Utah                  -14.46     -8.54                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    L * 141.36  18  44   1A   2 ( 12-  2) Washington              4.79    -30.79                      
 12 11/25/2016 Away    L * 111.17  35  56   1A  96 (  3-  9) Arizona               -25.40      4.40                      
      Averages             136.57  33.3 39.8

Best game:  152.39 = 13 point win over Texas Tech
Worst game: 111.17 = 21 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  13.01